Paul B said:
As far as forecasting weather, those who make comments regarding
the accuracy should try doing it for a living.
The "problem" with current forecasters is that they think if they add zeros to the
number(leading or trailing), it will suddenly become ennobled, and therefore more
accurate. - - - That's a lot like the people that were managing the copier (similar to
Xerox) that the company I am retired from, did. The standing joke was "measure it
with a micrometer, mark it with chalk, and cut it with an axe." - - - Accuracy can NOT
be added without better measurements. When you are measuring something that is
not fully understood, with inaccurate tools, and then shove it through a computer,
the computer will not increase accuracy!
THE best weather person I've ever seen was "Weatherman Bowman" of Denver
Channel 2, WAY back when. He would provide a forecast for tomorrow, then a
"looks like" estimate for the next day and an "average or above average, or below
average" for the third day. He was seldom wrong!
Now the talking heads, because of computers, think they can give SEVEN day
forecasts (that started in Denver Channel 7, just before Bowman retired). :shock:
When you ask the weather guessers about the changes in day to day forecasts,
they consistently whine about how fast the weather changes. GEE, REALLY?!
Then don't urinate on my leg and tell me it's raining!